Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-23 0.037033 0.040273 0.043531 0.047046 0.050725 0.054456 0.058520
2025-11-30 0.032625 0.037498 0.042552 0.048161 0.054189 0.060451 0.067429
2025-12-07 0.028991 0.035043 0.041493 0.048827 0.056884 0.065419 0.075097
2025-12-14 0.025767 0.032662 0.040203 0.048965 0.058777 0.069343 0.081501
2025-12-21 0.023775 0.031430 0.039989 0.050120 0.061643 0.074217 0.088852
2025-12-28 0.020962 0.029008 0.038220 0.049333 0.062176 0.076377 0.093095
2026-01-04 0.019106 0.027555 0.037435 0.049550 0.063744 0.079610 0.098461
2026-01-11 0.017748 0.026589 0.037126 0.050239 0.065781 0.083319 0.104320
2026-01-18 0.016511 0.025675 0.036800 0.050838 0.067658 0.086802 0.109890
2026-01-25 0.014312 0.023385 0.034669 0.049159 0.066760 0.087006 0.111633
2026-02-01 0.012870 0.021981 0.033555 0.048643 0.067180 0.088689 0.115039
2026-02-08 0.011705 0.020866 0.032742 0.048440 0.067930 0.090724 0.118824
2026-02-15 0.011240 0.020710 0.033175 0.049824 0.070655 0.095157 0.125500
2026-02-22 0.010692 0.020401 0.033386 0.050918 0.073023 0.099174 0.131707
2026-03-01 0.010024 0.019873 0.033277 0.051579 0.074845 0.102534 0.137140
2026-03-08 0.009219 0.019089 0.032780 0.051709 0.075984 0.105058 0.141575
2026-03-15 0.008842 0.018921 0.033106 0.052896 0.078436 0.109168 0.147904
2026-03-22 0.007839 0.017713 0.031940 0.052080 0.078334 0.110150 0.150473
2026-03-29 0.007242 0.017103 0.031579 0.052304 0.079529 0.112701 0.154916
2026-04-05 0.006835 0.016771 0.031593 0.053014 0.081332 0.115992 0.160247
2026-04-12 0.006431 0.016414 0.031550 0.053632 0.083009 0.119122 0.165384
2026-04-19 0.005430 0.014948 0.029821 0.051899 0.081604 0.118406 0.165826
2026-04-26 0.004821 0.014114 0.028989 0.051365 0.081732 0.119574 0.168547